Metro Manila’s condo overhang is not evenly spread across the capital region. Leechiu Property Consultants‘ 2026 breakdown put total unsold supply near 81,000 units, with Quezon City carrying about 19,300 while BGC, Taguig and Makati were far tighter.

Location Decides Discount Pressure

A headline inventory number can make the whole market sound distressed, but submarket exposure is uneven. Quezon City buyers may have more negotiating choices than buyers looking only at BGC or the tightest Makati pockets.

RFO Units Are The Immediate Risk

About 40 percent of the unsold total was ready for occupancy, according to the market breakdown. Finished units sitting on developer balance sheets are where payment terms and price incentives can become most flexible.

Vacancy Keeps Rental Yields Under Pressure

Colliers expects Metro Manila vacancy to remain high in 2026, especially in mid-income and lower mid-income products. Investors should test rent assumptions against actual tenant demand, not only developer yield sheets.

Outlook

The Philippines‘ next local signal is whether Quezon City inventory clears faster through incentives or weighs on resale prices. End-users should negotiate hardest where completed stock is deepest.

Philippines Deal Checks

For Philippines, the practical check is whether this local signal is visible in signed contracts, bank approvals, lease negotiations, registered transfers or completed works. Buyers should compare Metro Manila condos, Quezon City, Leechiu with recent transaction evidence, title documents, service charges, building condition and realistic exit demand before treating the latest news as a price guarantee.

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